Indians aim for sweep of visiting Royals

Baseball Betting Lines

08/29/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The finale of a three-game series between Kansas City and Cleveland ensues this afternoon, as the two worst teams in the AL Central get together again at Progressive Field.

Bruce Chen is slated to make his 17th start of the season today, and the Kansas City lefty is 8-7 with a 4.88 ERA. Chen was recently in action on Monday, when he permitted five earned runs on five hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 12-3 loss at Detroit. He is 4-4 on the road this season with a 4.50 ERA.

Chen has only thrown 19 2/3 innings against Cleveland over the last 10 years, so there isn't much of a track record against the Indians to identify a trend.

Slated to oppose Chen for the Indians is righty Fausto Carmona, and he hopes to even his record at 12-12 today. Carmona, who owns a 4.20 ERA, has lost his last four starts and got no run support in a setback to Oakland his last time out. In his career against Kansas City, Carmona is 5-3 with a 4.96 ERA.

On Saturday, Asdrubal Cabrera's home run leading off the 10th inning was the difference, as the Indians beat the Royals, 4-3.

Cabrera finished with two hits for the Indians, who have won three straight and have a chance to complete a series sweep today. Shin-Shoo Choo added two RBI, while Michael Brantley had two hits, an RBI and a run scored in the win.

Chris Perez (2-2) got the win for a scoreless inning of work. Jeanmar Gomez was in line for the win initially after giving up two runs on six hits and two walks in 5 2/3 frames.

"I felt very, very good. My pitches were working, my sinker and my slider were clicking," Gomez said.

Wilson Betemit homered and drove in all three runs for the Royals, who have lost four of five. Zack Greinke lasted eight innings, allowing three runs, eight hits and four walks, but Jesse Chavez (2-2) was saddled with the loss for giving up Cabrera's blast.

"I threw everything I possibly could throw with good location, and they were just taking amazing at-bats," Greinke said.

The Royals and Indians have split their 10 meetings this season.

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Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends

We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS.  Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned.  For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go.  As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190).  Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”.   By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet.  For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction.  On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later.  Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick.  Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com

New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors

Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
 New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season. 
 
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls

Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times. 
 
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons

Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season. 
 
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers

In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS. 
 
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